Fake Weather, Or Just Bad

On social media, there is a lot of weather information. Some of it is good and useful, but like everything else, some of it is misinformation which can be potentially harmful. One area of special concern during winter is the distribution of weather model images depicting huge snow forecasts or blinding blizzards. Too much of…
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Active Atlantic

The hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin has ended. This summer and fall has been the first above-average tropical storm season in the Atlantic since 2012. Fifteen storms reached at least tropical storm strength, and seven of those became hurricanes. Five of these tropical systems made landfall in the United States. The most destructive tropical…
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Mild November

Fargo has broken the record for the warmest mean temperature for the month of November. The mean temperature last month was 41.7 degrees, which breaks the record of 39.7 degrees set in 2001. The average November mean temperature is 28.8 degrees. One way to make sense of this would be to imagine that if each…
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Sorts Of Flakes

Snowflakes come in a variety of shapes and sizes caused by differing temperatures and humidity levels in the clouds. There are stars, plates, columns, and needles in various forms, but almost all types are based on a hexagonal (six-sided) shape. The most spectacular snowflakes, seen most often early and late in the winter, are the…
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Hype? Me?

Almost three weeks ago, some new forecasting techniques made it evident to me that an upper-level pattern change of some sort was likely before Thanksgiving and I said so several times on the evening news. I began putting out generalized 14-day forecasts a week later, suggesting the change would likely occur on or near Friday,…
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